Important info for home sellers in the Greater Atlanta area

The best agent isn’t defined by proximity; they’re defined by competence. The fallacy of the neighborhood real estate agent as having an advantage over others is one of the biggest myths in real estate. It’s easy to assume that the best agent to sell their home is one who lives in the neighborhood or has the most signs nearby. It sounds logical, who knows the area better than a local? But sellers that don't challenge this myth might very well be stepping on a financial landmine.  

The Hidden Flaws of the “Neighborhood Agent” Approach

Familiarity feels comfortable and safe. But proximity isn’t expertise — and in today’s shifting market, comfort isn’t strategy. Expertise comes from decades of writing contracts, analyzing data, negotiating, and working…

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"Torture the data, and it will admit to anything". Something the MSM and all of the click bait publications know well. Every day, it's continuous hand wringing and self created angst about real estate. Designed only to generate clicks, gone are the deep, well researched missives. Now the reports are tic toc level, AI generated, pablum. And just about all of it is wrong or misleading.  ALL real estate is local, VERY local.

There is no Atlanta housing crash coming, rates will not slide into the low 5% range, and home sellers and buyers will muddle through and adjust as needed. Below is an Atlanta housing market check, we compare the last three Septembers to get a feel for trends. Four major suburban counties and four main "metro" counties. Do this long…

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Home sellers can be a prickly group. This is especially true when markets are shifting, like now as sellers lose the edge and the market balances (mid-summer ’25). The trendy label is "accidental landlord", but an accidental landlord is nothing more than a stubborn seller. They don't listen, they know best. Their home is the “exception”; they have the one that all the buyers will flock to. Data? Meh, that’s for the others, not them. They know what the house is worth, just ask them. They are "experts".

With over three decades of full time sales and appraisal experience, I’ve heard some remarkably dumb things from sellers; and by extension, their agents. I’ve witnessed levels of stupidity that make no sense, listening as seemingly educated people…

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Joey sums up the 2025 Greater Atlanta housing market at the half year mark. Q1'25 was a dud, one of the slowest quarters of the last several years. Then April said, "hold my beer", it was one of the quietest months in memory. Fortunately, the market quickly woke up (as the economy settled) and the Atlanta market got back to business in May. 

As we stand right now (Early July 25), we're calling the "Greater Atlanta" real estate market balanced. The market is not going to to crash, prices will be generally stable moving forward, rates likely remain 6%-6.75%, and everyone needs to remember what "balanced" is. For buyers - it's not like post crash fifteen years ago, you are not successful offering 35% under list. For sellers - it's not the '21-'22 buyer…

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Wake up! Is the Greater Atlanta housing market in trouble? These Q1'25 charts show a market that was active as Ole Red after he raided the garbage. This wasn't a local trend, Q1'25 across the nation was a snooze fest. Underwhelming; to be sure. Alarming; no, but we expected to see a return of the typical patterns.

Real estate should be dull and boring, the last few years made many of us forget that. The Greater Atlanta real estate market is now balanced, in most respects back to or headed toward pre-pandemic activity in all major categories. That's good, but that craziness of the last several years remains seared into our brains.  Some of the charts below are stark; taken out of context they can lead to "oh chit" first impressions. No need for that -

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“We’re like roaches; when it’s good we eat, when it’s bad we feast”. My long time friend Rob dropped that pearl a good 25 years ago. He successfully flipped homes around Atlanta before it was a “thing”, through the crash, and a good decade after. Flipping homes in Atlanta is for apex predators, it's the majors in every way. Rookies and HGTV Rangers are prey, few people understand just how difficult it is to be successful flipping homes. "Investors” are vilified, especially by the MSM who blame them for anything and everything that ails the housing market. It’s a disingenuous and lazy take, regularly taken out of context. As for "Wall Street", if they didn't gorge during the crash, we'd still be awash in listings and things would be much different. They…

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A January toe stub for the greater Atlanta housing market. We usually get out of the gate early around Atlanta but not so much this January. We in the field felt it, I was curious so took a look at the data…and it confirms what we thought. This is a stumble; this market will snap back, but we see a few reasons for this lackluster start.

I’m confident that a combination of factors impacted the January ’25 activity:

  • Cold snap – Sounds dramatic (and it is) but the area had a couple of weeks of very cold weather and areas of snow and ice. That doesn’t play well in Atlanta
  • Insurance Impact – Insurance costs are rising at insane rates. We’re seeing companies refuse policies on homes with “aged”  roofs, with recent claims, in “high claim areas” and…

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We're bullish on the spring '25 Atlanta real estate market. Now that the "interest rate" situation appears over and the election is done, this market can get back to being boring. Boring real estate is good, boring housing markets are safe and predictable. Significant challenges remain, but with the election over what appears to be an end to the "Fed Watch" on rates, things should settle down. One unknown is how agent compensation is received now that it is in effect. Q4 was the roll out, this spring will be a chance to see how that plays in a busy market. 

No crystal ball but 35 years of sales and appraisals provide a pretty good "gut" feel for things. We're all in, leaning on that Blue Bell powered gut and three years of Atlanta housing market data.…

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“Why didn’t mortgage rates drop when the Fed cut the discount rate?” A simple question with so many variables that even experts can’t agree. The focus seems to always be on “the Fed”; how does all of the economic news impact decisions made by the Federal Reserve? Through most of 2024, all eyes were on the Fed as everyone wondered if they would cut rates. They finally did in Sept and again in Nov…and mortgage rates, well, they remain about where they were. So, what happened? But, did anyone (other than the disingenuous media) really think rates were getting into the 5's or lower? No one here, nor anyone associated with legitimate real estate organizations, did. 

The Fed & Rates

The Federal Reserve does not directly set mortgage rates. When the Fed…

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The bite is severe and it’s going to get worse. HOA issues are on the rise, but the vitriol directed at them is not always justified. Homeowner associations exist to maintain property and community standards; to ensure that owners, their properties, and community property, meet agreed upon standards. Over the last several years, many HOAs have been financially stressed and that stress is being passed to residents. The catalyst was the Surfside Condo collapse, the mismanagement there was a clarion call to many. 

Increasing HOA Fees

HOA fees in Greater Atlanta increased by 12.2% from 2022 to 2024; that was about the median across the country. Two main reasons are behind ever increasing monthly fees; inflation and maintaining adequate reserves. The…

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