Greater Atlanta Real Estate Market 3rd Quarter Report 2024
Posted by Hank Miller on
Looking good. That's the short "to the point" summary of the greater Atlanta real estate market for the 3rd quarter of 2024. Fluctuations? Of course, but real estate is not the stock market and it must be looked at over several quarters to allow enough time for patterns to develop. Q3 especially; July sees closings from May and June, but vacations slow buyer activity. School cranks up in August, always slow as everyone adjusts. Labor Day signals the start of the fall market for the last few weeks of the quarter. It's a challenging but predictable pattern, which is why it's best to compare Q3 '24 to the previous ones. This data here considers the Atlanta real estate market as the counties of Fulton, Cobb, Cherokee, Dekalb, Forsyth, and Gwinnett.
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occurred, values have not missed a beat. To be fair, the "metro Atlanta" region is far to large and diverse to paint with one brush. However, this data is useful in providing a good indicator of macro trends. Every submarket is different, as is every type and price point. Success is found by working with skilled professional agents, not some hobby hack agent with ten other side hustles. Below is a review of the six major metro counties and all price points.
estate industry experts"…all of them. Straight up gaslighting you. Telling you about dropping rates, dropping prices and increasing inventory. They're straight up BS'ing you.
About two years ago this month, Atlanta real estate and interest rates started a very complex relationship. The Fed slammed the brakes on low rates, and despite the initial wobble, the Atlanta real estate market found stability and firm ground. There was pain of course, many buyers were eliminated and the withdrawals from those low rates is still being felt. Two years in, we have enough data to evaluate the impact of the rate jump; the questions of “how much, how many, and how long” can be answered at this point. Comparing Feb '24 to Feb '23 and Feb '22 (six main metro counties); we see how hard those rate increases hit in '22 and how the market adjusted through '23.
As the early spring 2024 season opens around Greater Atlanta, some home buyers are still facing multiple offers. This is not the same universal craziness that we saw during the post pandemic days, but the current inventory of highly desirable homes remains fiercely competitive. Greater Atlanta saw a significant influx of post pandemic buyers coming to town with pockets full of cash. They were hungry to buy, and they did. Sellers could list pretty much anything at any price and it would go quickly at or over list. Those days are over...sorta.
What is the forecast for the Atlanta real estate market in 2024? Contrary to most every regional and national prognosticator, the only legitimate answer is "it depends". It's critical to understand prior markets, look for patterns, and temper that with current economic conditions. The idea that any "housing" or "economic expert" can authoritatively declare where this market is headed over the year is absurd. How can variables like local and national economic conditions, consumer debt, consumer confidence, the Fed, global supply chains, wars and conflict and a hundred other wild cards be corralled? They cannot.
The first half of the Atlanta 2023 housing market shared many similarities with the first half of the 2022 real estate market. Despite continuous caterwauling from the MSM about a crash, home prices around greater Atlanta haven't really moved from a year ago. In fact, some market are ahead of those record highs of '22. Clearly it's not the same market, but the interest rate shock seems to be accounted for.
national media, this market is not crashing and there is no reason to expect it will. A May 2022 to May 2023 look at key Atlanta housing market indicators demonstrates what we professionals saw; an adjustment to rising rates followed by a recovery.