Atlanta Housing Market Check - Sept '23 vs '24 vs '25
Posted by Hank Miller on
"Torture the data, and it will admit to anything". Something the MSM and all of the click bait publications know well. Every day, it's continuous hand wringing and self created angst about real estate. Designed only to generate clicks, gone are the deep, well researched missives. Now the reports are tic toc level, AI generated, pablum. And just about all of it is wrong or misleading. ALL real estate is local, VERY local.
There is no Atlanta housing crash coming, rates will not slide into the low 5% range, and home sellers and buyers will muddle through and adjust as needed. Below is an Atlanta housing market check, we compare the last three Septembers to get a feel for trends. Four major suburban counties and four main "metro" counties. Do this long…
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was one of the quietest months in memory. Fortunately, the market quickly woke up (as the economy settled) and the Atlanta market got back to business in May.
Wake up! Is the Greater Atlanta housing market in trouble? These Q1'25 charts show a market that was active as Ole Red after he raided the garbage. This wasn't a local trend, Q1'25 across the nation was a snooze fest. Underwhelming; to be sure. Alarming; no, but we expected to see a return of the typical patterns.
this January. We in the field felt it, I was curious so took a look at the data…and it confirms what we thought. This is a stumble; this market will snap back, but we see a few reasons for this lackluster start.
We're bullish on the spring '25 Atlanta real estate market. Now that the "interest rate" situation appears over and the election is done, this market can get back to being boring. Boring real estate is good, boring housing markets are safe and predictable. Significant challenges remain, but with the election over what appears to be an end to the "Fed Watch" on rates, things should settle down. One unknown is how agent compensation is received now that it is in effect. Q4 was the roll out, this spring will be a chance to see how that plays in a busy market.
“Why didn’t mortgage rates drop when the Fed cut the discount rate?” A simple question with so many variables that even experts can’t agree. The focus seems to always be on “the Fed”; how does all of the economic news impact decisions made by the Federal Reserve? Through most of 2024, all eyes were on the Fed as everyone wondered if they would cut rates. They finally did in Sept and again in Nov…and mortgage rates, well, they remain about where they were. So, what happened? But, did anyone (other than the disingenuous media) really think rates were getting into the 5's or lower? No one here, nor anyone associated with legitimate real estate organizations, did.
occurred, values have not missed a beat. To be fair, the "metro Atlanta" region is far to large and diverse to paint with one brush. However, this data is useful in providing a good indicator of macro trends. Every submarket is different, as is every type and price point. Success is found by working with skilled professional agents, not some hobby hack agent with ten other side hustles. Below is a review of the six major metro counties and all price points.
estate industry experts"…all of them. Straight up gaslighting you. Telling you about dropping rates, dropping prices and increasing inventory. They're straight up BS'ing you.